Regional structures

Kirschblüte in der Heerstrasse in Bonn

Contact

Bernd Ermes
Senior Project Lead
+49(0)228 38 22-423
b.ermes@infas.de

Robert Follmer
Senior Director Mobility and Environment
+49(0)228 38 22-419
r.follmer@infas.de

Since its founding, infas has been conducting regional research and, on the basis of empirical surveys, helping local actors to identify new challenges and developments at an early stage in order to derive measures for the future on this basis.

The challenges facing cities and municipalities are diversifying and becoming more complex. Climate change and the coronavirus pandemic as global phenomena are interwoven with structural change, the design of sustainable mobility systems and the requirements of the housing market at regional or municipal level. Interactions and interdependencies are more difficult to assess and project into the future.

infas has 60 years of experience in researching complex challenges and developing and designing solutions. To this end, data from various sources is used, evaluated and condensed into differentiated findings. In doing so, infas works closely with its sister company infas 360 GmbH, which has a comprehensive stock of market and geodata at its disposal. For infas studies in regional research, comprehensive analyses are carried out as required, combining these diverse databases. This approach enables precise microgeographical evaluations and regional location and mobility analyses.

infas conducts regional research on a regular basis:

  • Empirical projects on urban and regional development,
  • Analyses for regions, cities and municipalities on the topics of structural change, home office, (mobility) infrastructure,
  • Target group analyses and segmentations for real estate and neighborhood projects,
  • Potential and acceptance tests based on empirical studies for new living concepts and new home technology (smart home),
  • further projects on the housing market, including the preparation of qualified and reliable rent indices.

Rent index

In order to be able to determine a local comparative rent, it is the responsibility of local authorities to provide a rent index. With the reform of the rent index law on July 1, 2022, cities with a population of more than 50,000 are obliged to prepare the rent index themselves or commission experts to do so.

At the beginning of 2023, a simple rent index (valid for two years, without the application of specific procedures) will be required; from 01.01.2024, the cities concerned will have to present a qualified rent index (valid for four years, updated, prepared according to scientifically recognized principles).

On behalf of local authorities, infas, in cooperation with infas 360 and the technical expertise of Prof. Dr. Kauermann (LMU Munich), produces qualified rent indices using the regression method. This requires preparatory planning to determine the sample size, careful sampling and the design of questionnaires. Building on this, the standardized and representative survey of tenants (and landlords) is carried out using an efficient combination of written and online surveys. The response rate of both survey forms is checked for plausibility and analyzed and evaluated using a regression model.

The use of the regression method also offers the advantage that the sample size is smaller compared to the table rent index. The team at infas, infas 360 and Prof. Dr. Kauermann not only has extensive methodological experience, but also the data required to produce the rent index, such as residential locations and building age.

In addition to compiling the rent index, the consortium also offers an online calculation tool based on the results. Further information on the rent index can also be found on the infas 360 website.

In some studies, data records are required or generated that have an address reference or address information. Regardless of whether this refers to a household, a company location or other data with a local reference, further information can be linked on the basis of the clearly defined spatial location.

The assignment of an address to a spatial coordinate is known as geocoding. This location information makes it possible to enrich other valuable data with a spatial reference at various levels. It is up to the respective application purpose which factual data is linked. Specific examples include access to public transport, building characteristics, purchasing power, local supply, socio-demographic structures or residential location.

The result of geocoding can be further processed in purely tabular form. However, it is often useful to display the result visually (in conjunction with enriched data). Geographic information systems (GIS) are used for this purpose. Choropleth maps are a widely used form of displaying aggregated or processed data. The underlying areas (e.g. municipalities) are depicted according to their characteristics using sequential or divergent color gradients or a qualitative color scheme.

Geodata that is available in vector format is usually suitable for statistical evaluations. These can have a point-like (e.g. address or town center), line-like (e.g. road or watercourse courses) or area-like (e.g. administrative units, landscape boundaries or parcels of land) structure. The relevant data usually has a unique assignment (“ID”, e.g. municipality key) and can be linked in tabular form. Continuous data such as temperature, wind speed, terrain height or noise are generally displayed in the form of raster data (e.g. 100 m x 100 m) and cannot be assigned via a key; they are only spatially defined by their location. GIS methods are used to convert raster data into vector data for further processing and linking.

It should be noted that the term “grid” is also used in a different context, namely for the equally checkerboard-like representation of vector data, the shape of which is described by squares of equal size. Another, somewhat more precise, term is “geographical grids or grid cells“.

These have a unique ID/key and are used, among other things, for the spatial representation of census data.

In particular, data from surveys whose spatial reference is essential for the object of investigation require great care in further processing and data storage. This is primarily ensured by aggregation to specific spatial levels, such as municipal areas. For some questions, however, this scale is too imprecise and requires a different approach. Depending on the size and structure of a municipal area, smaller units such as districts or statistical districts can be considered. Due to the different sizes of municipalities (in terms of population and area) and, ultimately, local self-government, there is a great deal of heterogeneity here. Geographical classifications with a homogeneous structure are therefore suitable for comparative observations with a larger spatial reference and a simultaneous focus on small-scale areas. This can take the form of square grid cells, for example.

A hierarchical grid cell system has therefore been defined for the standardized representation of geodata throughout Europe (INSPIRE Directive). Grid cells, staggered from 1 m to 100,000 m edge length, are uniquely identified by means of a cell code. When aggregating address points (or their data) into a grid cell, a sufficiently large number of cases or inhabitants rules out re-identification. In order to consistently fulfill this criterion, the data is aggregated to a larger grid cell of the next hierarchy level if necessary.

Application of Small Area Statistics

In addition, infas regional research regularly employs modeling using the Small Area Statistics method. This is also done in cooperation with the company’s sister company infas 360. Current examples of this represent estimates of the home office situation and the distribution of Corona vaccinations.

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